Showing posts with label Mathematics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mathematics. Show all posts

Friday, January 08, 2016

Net present value vs internal rate of return

Net present value vs internal rate of return

Independent vs dependent projects

NPV and IRR methods are closely related because:

i) both are time-adjusted measures of profitability, and
ii) their mathematical formulas are almost identical.


So, which method leads to an optimal decision: IRR or NPV?

a) NPV vs IRR: Independent projects

Independent project: Selecting one project does not preclude the choosing of the other.

With conventional cash flows (-|+|+) no conflict in decision arises; in this case both NPV and IRR lead to the same accept/reject decisions.

Figure 6.1 NPV vs IRR Independent projects

If cash flows are discounted at k1, NPV is positive and IRR > k1: accept project.

If cash flows are discounted at k2, NPV is negative and IRR < k2: reject the project.

Mathematical proof: for a project to be acceptable, the NPV must be positive, i.e.



Similarly for the same project to be acceptable:

where R is the IRR.

Since the numerators Ct are identical and positive in both instances:

· implicitly/intuitively R must be greater than k (R > k);
· If NPV = 0 then R = k: the company is indifferent to such a project;
· Hence, IRR and NPV lead to the same decision in this case.


b) NPV vs IRR: Dependent projects

NPV clashes with IRR where mutually exclusive projects exist.

Example:

Agritex is considering building either a one-storey (Project A) or five-storey (Project B) block of offices on a prime site. The following information is available:

Initial Investment Outlay

Net Inflow at the Year End

Project A

-9,500

11,500

Project B

-15,000

18,000

Assume k = 10%, which project should Agritex undertake?

$954.55

$1,363.64


Both projects are of one-year duration:

IRRA: 

$11,500 = $9,500 (1 +RA)

= 1.21-1

therefore IRRA = 21%

IRRB: 

$18,000 = $15,000(1 + RB)

= 1.2-1

therefore IRRB = 20%


Decision:

Assuming that k = 10%, both projects are acceptable because:

NPVA and NPVB are both positive
IRRA > k AND IRRB > k


Which project is a "better option" for Agritex?

If we use the NPV method:

NPVB ($1,363.64) > NPVA ($954.55): Agritex should choose Project B.


If we use the IRR method:

IRRA (21%) > IRRB (20%): Agritex should choose Project A. See figure 6.2.


Figure 6.2 NPV vs IRR: Dependent projects

Up to a discount rate of ko: project B is superior to project A, therefore project B is preferred to project A.

Beyond the point ko: project A is superior to project B, therefore project A is preferred to project B

The two methods do not rank the projects the same.